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The Hillary Factor

November 19, 2006

Will Hillary run? That depends on a bigger question: Can she win? In the next month, New York’s junior senator will embark on the most monumental, emotional gut-check of her life - and weigh whether she thinks she can win the White House.

Then, not too far into 2007, she will make her intentions known.

“She has to wait until she’s made a decision and it’s a decision she’s comfortable with,” said Democratic consultant Hank Sheinkopf, who supports Clinton.

Getting comfortable could be hard, and some of her closest political allies hope she resists the urge. But a lot has been going her way lately.

Democrats proved last week they can win in red states, taking Senate seats, House seats and governor’s mansions. Would-be Hillary slayer Mark Warner, Virginia’s former governor, has dropped out of 2008 contention, and 2004 nominee John Kerry shot himself in the foot with a flubbed joke.

Poll numbers on matchups with top GOP rivals John McCain and Rudy Giuliani have improved to statistical ties or slight leads for her.

A Newsweek poll released yesterday found 53% of those surveyed said there’s a chance they’d vote for her - virtually identical to McCain and Giuliani. And while many Americans see her as a polarizing figure, the key issue of whether they think she can win is trending up. A recent Gallup poll found 57% of Democrats say she could win it all.

(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com …

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