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Is Hillary Clinton Peaking Too Soon?

By Don Surber 

Democrats are great at electing presidents in March when the election is held in November. Dukakis, Gore and Kerry were all locks in their races — until the fall campaign actually began. In this cycle, Democrats prepared for November, but the November they picked is 2007, not 2008.

The campaign began too early as Hillary Clinton concluded that she could not allow Barack Obama to build momentum early. Her official entry triggered everyone (except Fred Thompson) to go from the feel-good exploratory mode to actually campaigning. Debates are being held already, and not in a substantive Lincoln-Douglass way.

The latest Democratic debate drew less than a million sets of eyeballs, according to TV Newser. Maybe it was Keith Olbermann’s presence. Maybe the shark was jumped. Maybe it is just that this is another summer rerun.

The good news for Hillary is she is romping in the polls over the foreign-policy-ignorant Obama. Gallup has her at 48%, Obama 28%. This should allow her time to start beating up on Republicans.

But it also means that for more than a year, she will be the presumptive Democratic nominee, to borrow a tired phrase from 2004. No doubt, the public wants change in 2008. People usually want change in presidential races that do not feature a sitting president; even then it is iffy.

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How does Mrs. Clinton present herself as an agent of change in November 2008 when she will have been in the “office” of the Democratic nominee for a full year’s time — after serving two terms as a “co-president”?

People want fresh faces, which is why Gore had no chance in the 2004 or 2008 races. Maybe by 2012 or 2016 he will have sat on the sidelines long enough to warrant a second (actually third) look.

Republicans are hoping for a turn of events in Iraq that will redeem them somewhat. Bush’s backing of the failed amnesty proposal actually helps Giuliani, Romney and Thompson because by opposing it, each shows he is his own man, in a nice, conservative way. Out-conserving Bush should be a winner next fall.

When the real presidential campaign takes place.

Source:  Daily Mail Blogs

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